Is the Packers offense really as bad as

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Is the Packers offense really as bad as

Sunday night was a humbling experience for me. You see, while I no longer share DFS advice in the newsletter (too much of it was "obsolete" by the time games began), that doesn't mean I've stopped playing DFS. No, I'm still a regular player when it comes to both the NBA and NFL. I don't have time to devote as much attention to it as those who do it profe sionally, so I rely on projections from sites that specialize in such things, and I then add my own findings and opinions to come up with lineups. For the Sunday main slate of the NFL, I spent a lot of time during the week tinkering to find the best lineups and then I sent them out there. By the time the dust settled, I had made an outstanding profit of $7.50 on the slate. Of course, there's more than the main slate on Sunday! I entered contests for the Sunday night game as well, following the same method I always do. I enter a contest, put in a placeholder lineup without any thought, and then prepare the lineups I intend to use. But there was one small problem last night. CBS Sports HQ Newsletter Your Ultimate Guide to Every Day in Sports We bring sports news that matters to your inbox, to help you stay Dylan Larkin Jersey informed and get a winning edge. I agree to receive the "CBS Sports HQ Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. I forgot to enter my lineups. We had company Curtis Joseph Women Jersey at the house last night, and they got lost in the shuffle of being a human being. It wasn't until the game began that I realized my mistake and became angry with myself for throwing money away. And then the placeholder lineup that I was now stuck with acro s multiple entries and contests went out and won $350. So, for those keeping score, hours spent preparing netted me $7.50. Not preparing won me $350. As I said, it was a humbling experience. A profitable one too. . . . ?All right, let's hope tonight's Monday Night Football game is half as humbling but twice as profitable as Sunday night's was. The Hot Ticket Latest Odds: Under 49.5 The Pick: Under 48.5 (-110): In all honestly, I'm a little scared of taking the under tonight after how poorly the Packers offense played last week. There's a chance that comes out looking to set the world on fire in a spotlight game to shut everybody up after he threw for only 133 yards with two interceptions in a 38-3 lo s to the last week. Still, I'll just have to live with that fear because everything else tells me to take the David Booth Kids Jersey under in this spot tonight, as I have it being about a field goal too high.While I don't think the Packers offense is nearly as bad as it looked last week, I'm not entirely convinced it's an elite unit, either. On the other side, Detroit's offense scored 33 points against San Francisco last week, but 21 of them came after the had built a 38-10 lead and went into a defensive shell. I don't expect Green Bay to do the same, nor do I expect Detroit to play the same way they did at the end of that game. threw the ball 57 times last week, but 28 of those pa ses came in the first three quarters. He threw 29 pa ses in the fourth. Having Goff drop back to pa s won't be in the game plan for a Detroit team that's a double-digit underdog on the road. The Lions are far more likely to try and control the clock with their run game to keep things close. I can't say how effective they'll be, but at least I'll also have 15 mph winds blowing through Lambeau Field helping the cause either way. Key Trend: The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings. SportsLine's R.J. White is 43-13 with his last 56 against-the-spread picks involving the Packers, which is a ridiculous win rate, . More MNF Picks The Pick: Aaron Rodgers Over 6.5 rushing yards (-115) --This has long been one of my favorite prop bets, as it cashes at a high rate. Aaron Rodgers is one of the smarter scramblers at the QB position, and he's still athletic enough to find yards when they're there. Since taking over as starter way back in 2008, Rodgers has averaged 17 rushing yards per game with the Packers. Now, as you'd expect, that total has diminished in recent years as Rodgers has aged -- but not too much. Since Rodgers turned 35 in 2018, he's averaging 12.5 rushing yards per game. Last season he rushed for at least seven yards in 10 of Green Bay's 16 regular-season games, including 25 rushing yards in two games against the Lions. With the prop set where it is, all we need is Rodgers scrambling for one first down to win the bet, and it happens far more often than the prop suggests. Key Trend: Aaron Rodgers has averaged 12.5 yards rushing per game over the last three seasons. The Pick: Jared Goff Under 1.5 touchdowns (-145) --The Filip Zadina Women Jersey Packers have been one of the more zone-heavy defenses in the NFL. Last year, the Packers were in zone 69% of the time, which was tied with Washington for the ninth-highest frequency in the NFL. Joe Barry has been calling the defense for only one game, but the Packers were in zone 70% of the Pavel Datsyuk Women Jersey time against New Orleans last week. This is not great news for Jared Goff. In his NFL career, Goff has a higher completion rate against zone coverage than man (68% to 55.8%), more yards per attempt (7.96 to 7.45) and a slightly higher pa ser rating (89.8 to 89.4). Now, you're probably wondering why his pa ser rating is only slightly better, considering how much better those other numbers are. The answer is simple. Goff's touchdown rate against man is a strong 5.96%. Against zone coverages, it's only 1.63%. That's a huge drop-off, and Goff has thrown more interceptions (29) against zone defenses than he has touchdowns (26) during his career. Odds are Detroit's touchdowns will come via the ground or a broken play tonight. Key Trend: Jared Goff has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns against zone defenses during his career. SportsLine's Advanced Projection Model, which is up almost $7,900, . MLB Under Parlay This is for those of you with a strong desire to bet baseball tonight. This parlay pays +250. Rays/Blue Jays Under 7.5 (+100)A's/Mariners Under 8.5 (-133)
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